The Imperfect Bayesian

A blog of game theory and statistical inference

To Bayes or not to Bayes, that is the question…

Latest from the Blog

Disclosing Diagnoses

I usually don’t like to comment about politics on this blog, so I will try to keep this as neutral as possible. However, the recent reporting on President Biden’s purported memory lapses provides an opportunity to discuss models of incomplete information and disclosure. Background information: yesterday, a special counsel report decided not to recommend charges…

The Slutsky Equation for Duolingo

For the past year, I’ve been learning Spanish in my spare time via Duolingo on my phone. I know, there is mixed evidence on its effectiveness, but I do have a background in another Romance language (French), which has made it somewhat easier to get something out of the app. I’ve become an expert at…

SBF, FTX, and EA

The world of finance has been abuzz for the last month or so following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX, run by Effective Altruism (EA) poster child Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to news reports, $8 billion were transferred from customer accounts into SBF’s investment arm, Alameda Research, as well as various spending projects. SBF…

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